Miami Heat at Toronto Raptors: saved NBA player projections, October 3, 2026
Courtside Research captured this 30-player recent-games baseline at Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT, before the scheduled 7:00 PM ET tip. It is a historical snapshot, not a live projection or a starting lineup.
Saved baseline vs. final results
Verified final participant sourceThese are the original recent-games estimates saved at , compared with separately recorded final results. The saved forecasts and their model evidence have not changed.
Minutes
21 / 30 observed pairsAverage absolute difference 12.5
Points
21 / 30 observed pairsAverage absolute difference 6.8
Rebounds
21 / 30 observed pairsAverage absolute difference 2.6
Assists
21 / 30 observed pairsAverage absolute difference 2.0
Miami Heat
13 of 15 saved players with observed played results| Player / final result | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
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| Bez MbengPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Bam AdebayoPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Davion MitchellPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Pelle LarssonPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Giannis AntetokounmpoPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Bobby Portis Jr.PlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Andrew WigginsPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Tim Hardaway Jr.PlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Klay ThompsonPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Nick RichardsPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Keshad JohnsonDid not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Simone FontecchioPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Nikola JovićPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Dru SmithDid not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Myron GardnerPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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Toronto Raptors
8 of 15 saved players with observed played results| Player / final result | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ BarrettPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Scottie BarnesPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Malachi SmithPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Ja'Kobe WalterPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Kawhi LeonardDid not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Jamal SheadPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Collin Murray-BoylesPlayedFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Immanuel QuickleyPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Jakob PoeltlPlayedFinal role: starterForecast generated |
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| Andre Jackson Jr.Did not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Jamison BattleDid not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Kyle AndersonDid not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Trey Jemison IIIDid not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Alijah MartinDid not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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| Trayce Jackson-DavisDid not playFinal role: benchForecast generated |
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Final-result source and timestamps
The original baseline model and roster provenance remain in the source section below. These fields describe the separate final evidence.
- Final source coverage
- Complete verified participant manifest
- Team identity binding
- Native final team IDs matched to saved team IDs
- Actual source observed
- Final ingestion completed
- Final source read
- Provider source
- cdn.nba.com_boxscore
- Final snapshot ID
7a3f2cc0-a2ef-41ff-984a-2ab10e3aea02- Provider payload SHA-256
c5bff464f47bf8f18c62eb23d613e082aefa4baee90d1d0a7d57f63abd26018a- Canonical response SHA-256
f7d63db5e156657dc77bdb592329239b1e0381125d3733dc6c2164aa816c3003- Boxscore response SHA-256
88b31ff0791137d44045bd3032a6ee11a33dbfaf94c2e93962095c4e9c9c467a
Miami Heat baseline
15 qualified player forecastsWithin this saved sample, Bez Mbeng has the highest baseline minutes at 37.3, while Giannis Antetokounmpo leads projected points at 25.5. These are model estimates from recent games, not a projected starting five.
| Player | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Research status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bez MbengForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 37.3 | 9.6 | 4.2 | 4.5 | Unverified |
| Bam AdebayoForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 33.2 | 21.2 | 10.2 | 4.4 | Unverified |
| Davion MitchellForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 30.5 | 11.3 | 3.0 | 5.7 | Unverified |
| Pelle LarssonForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 29.4 | 14.2 | 3.6 | 3.4 | Unverified |
| Giannis AntetokounmpoForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 27.5 | 25.5 | 9.4 | 4.9 | Unverified |
| Bobby Portis Jr.Forecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 25.8 | 16.5 | 6.3 | 1.5 | Unverified |
| Andrew WigginsForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 25.8 | 12.4 | 3.7 | 2.3 | Unverified |
| Tim Hardaway Jr.Forecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 23.1 | 11.4 | 2.7 | 1.2 | Unverified |
| Klay ThompsonForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 19.8 | 12.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | Unverified |
| Nick RichardsForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 18.9 | 7.5 | 6.9 | 0.3 | Unverified |
| Keshad JohnsonForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 13.8 | 8.6 | 2.3 | 0.7 | Unverified |
| Simone FontecchioForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 12.8 | 7.5 | 2.8 | 1.1 | Unverified |
| Nikola JovićForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 10.8 | 4.2 | 1.8 | 1.0 | Unverified |
| Dru SmithForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 8.4 | 2.7 | 1.3 | 1.5 | Unverified |
| Myron GardnerForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 3.3 | 1.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | Unverified |
Toronto Raptors baseline
15 qualified player forecastsWithin this saved sample, RJ Barrett has the highest baseline minutes at 40.5, while Kawhi Leonard leads projected points at 28.1. These are model estimates from recent games, not a projected starting five.
| Player | Minutes | Points | Rebounds | Assists | Research status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ BarrettForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 40.5 | 26.0 | 6.8 | 4.3 | Unverified |
| Scottie BarnesForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 40.2 | 23.1 | 7.1 | 9.9 | Unverified |
| Malachi SmithForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 35.4 | 12.4 | 4.9 | 4.6 | Unverified |
| Ja'Kobe WalterForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 33.7 | 12.1 | 3.7 | 1.8 | Unverified |
| Kawhi LeonardForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 31.8 | 28.1 | 6.8 | 3.4 | Unverified |
| Jamal SheadForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 31.6 | 8.9 | 1.6 | 6.4 | Unverified |
| Collin Murray-BoylesForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 28.9 | 15.0 | 6.9 | 2.4 | Unverified |
| Immanuel QuickleyForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 23.4 | 10.0 | 2.7 | 4.6 | Unverified |
| Jakob PoeltlForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 20.8 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 1.6 | Unverified |
| Andre Jackson Jr.Forecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 15.3 | 5.5 | 2.7 | 1.2 | Unverified |
| Jamison BattleForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 13.6 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.6 | Unverified |
| Kyle AndersonForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 8.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 2.0 | Unverified |
| Trey Jemison IIIForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 6.7 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.4 | Unverified |
| Alijah MartinForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 5.6 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 0.6 | Unverified |
| Trayce Jackson-DavisForecast generated Oct 3, 6:39 AM EDT | 2.4 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | Unverified |
The saved evidence stays attached.
Courtside Research produced these recent-games estimates for the scheduled Miami Heat–Toronto Raptors game. The snapshot was captured at ; the official team-roster receipt was observed at . The game was scheduled for .
The page contains only players with a matching game, team, model and roster receipt, and a pre-tip forecast. It does not fill missing forecasts, infer starters, include sportsbook odds or change the saved values after the game.
- Model version
- gameplay-rotation-observer.v1
- Model artifact SHA-256
2cdd04a7d0947bd8b93cd815198c4844086206c4bfffde209cc6842294dc504b- NBA roster season
- 2026-27
- Roster snapshot ID
fb966a4d-c3db-45a2-bc3c-7f4e86ee208d- Roster content SHA-256
feceb1bd078c27e471539ff49fe8814539c33de122d2984e4dc464fdf4cef8af