Las Vegas Aces at Golden State Valkyries: projection vs. actual, October 4, 2026
Saved Courtside pregame forecasts beside the verified final result. Each forecast below was captured before this game tipped off.
How the saved forecasts compared
13 comparable playersAcross the players with both a saved pregame forecast and a final result, the average absolute miss was 5.9 minutes and 6.4 points. These are descriptive results for this game, not a model accuracy guarantee.
Veronica Burton played 17.7 minutes against 32.5 projected, a 14.8-minute gap in this sample.
Cecilia Zandalasini scored 7 points against 8.3 projected, a 1.3-point gap.
Compare 2 verified WNBA games from Sun, Oct 4 for the day's saved forecasts and final results.
| Player | Minutes Proj / Actual | Difference | Points Proj / Actual | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja WilsonLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 34.6 / 35.2 | +0.6 | 29.3 / 24 | -5.3 |
| Chelsea GrayLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.9 / 36.2 | +0.3 | 13.2 / 16 | +2.8 |
| Jackie YoungLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 35.6 / 38.4 | +2.8 | 23.4 / 11 | -12.4 |
| Jewell LoydLas Vegas Aces · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 27.9 / 16.6 | -11.3 | 10.0 / 0 | -10.0 |
| Cheyenne Parker-TyusLas Vegas Aces · BenchForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 15.2 / 12.1 | -3.1 | 6.9 / 0 | -6.9 |
| Cecilia ZandalasiniGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 16.8 / 17.7 | +0.9 | 8.3 / 7 | -1.3 |
| Gabby WilliamsGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 31.1 / 33.6 | +2.5 | 18.5 / 25 | +6.5 |
| Kayla ThorntonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 22.9 / 34.0 | +11.1 | 6.2 / 8 | +1.8 |
| Kiah StokesGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 25.6 / 27.5 | +1.9 | 3.4 / 0 | -3.4 |
| Veronica BurtonGolden State Valkyries · StarterForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 32.5 / 17.7 | -14.8 | 13.5 / 4 | -9.5 |
| Janelle SalaunGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 18.4 / 6.0 | -12.4 | 9.3 / 2 | -7.3 |
| Kaila CharlesGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 23.7 / 17.7 | -6.0 | 8.0 / 2 | -6.0 |
| Tiffany HayesGolden State Valkyries · BenchForecast saved Oct 4, 3:36 PM EDT · Model gameplay-rotation-observer.v1 | 19.7 / 11.1 | -8.6 | 13.0 / 3 | -10.0 |
The clock matters.
We use each player's saved pre-tip forecast and compare it with a validated final box score. The table includes only players for whom both records are available. “Difference” is actual minus projected. Average absolute miss measures the size of those differences without cancellations.
Missing forecasts are not filled in after the game. The recap does not claim that the displayed sample represents every player or every Courtside prediction.
See the combined WNBA projection track record
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