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WNBA · player forecast vs. actual

Ariel Atkins: projected minutes and points beside the result.

17 verified final games from Jul 28, 2026 through Sep 22, 2026. The team in the latest archived game was Los Angeles Sparks. Open any row for the full game recap.

In the latest verified comparison against Las Vegas Aces on Sep 22, 2026, Courtside saved a pre-tip forecast of 24.1 minutes and 7.4 points for Ariel Atkins. The final result was 22.9 minutes and 9 points. See the source game recap

All qualified players

What this sample shows

17 distinct games

Across these saved pre-tip comparisons, actual minutes ran 2.0 minutes below the forecasts per game, while actual points ran 1.3 points below the forecasts per game. The widest points gap was 7.6 against Washington Mystics on Aug 15, 2026.

Minutes · forecast / actual28.1 / 26.1-2.0 actual minus forecast per game
Points · forecast / actual8.9 / 7.6-1.3 actual minus forecast per game
Average absolute miss3.8 min · 3.3 ptsSize of each game's miss, regardless of direction

Game-by-game record

Most recent first
Saved pre-tip projections and verified final results for Ariel Atkins; differences are actual minus forecast
Game recapMin. forecastMin. actualMin. differencePts. forecastPts. actualPts. difference
at Las Vegas Aces · Los Angeles Sparks 79–89 Las Vegas AcesForecast saved Sep 22, 9:35 PM EDT · Starter24.122.9-1.27.49.0+1.6
vs. Portland Fire · Portland Fire 84–105 Los Angeles SparksForecast saved Sep 20, 6:35 PM EDT · Starter24.920.5-4.46.714.0+7.3
at Dallas Wings · Los Angeles Sparks 77–97 Dallas WingsForecast saved Sep 17, 7:35 PM EDT · Starter23.522.8-0.76.84.0-2.8
at Seattle Storm · Los Angeles Sparks 90–74 Seattle StormForecast saved Aug 30, 4:36 PM EDT · Starter25.316.9-8.47.44.0-3.4
vs. Washington Mystics · Washington Mystics 82–88 Los Angeles SparksForecast saved Aug 28, 3:50 PM EDT · Starter25.827.2+1.48.04.0-4.0
vs. Atlanta Dream · Atlanta Dream 78–71 Los Angeles SparksForecast saved Aug 24, 9:36 PM EDT · Starter24.932.9+8.07.810.0+2.2
vs. Connecticut Sun · Connecticut Sun 68–77 Los Angeles SparksForecast saved Aug 22, 8:36 PM EDT · Starter26.324.7-1.68.36.0-2.3
vs. Atlanta Dream · Atlanta Dream 124–88 Los Angeles SparksForecast saved Aug 20, 9:36 PM EDT · Starter29.215.9-13.38.39.0+0.7
at Connecticut Sun · Los Angeles Sparks 77–85 Connecticut SunForecast saved Aug 18, 6:36 PM EDT · Starter29.726.0-3.78.29.0+0.8
at Washington Mystics · Los Angeles Sparks 70–80 Washington MysticsForecast saved Aug 15, 7:05 PM EDT · Starter28.029.7+1.78.61.0-7.6
at New York Liberty · Los Angeles Sparks 81–85 New York LibertyForecast saved Aug 13, 7:36 PM EDT · Starter28.528.2-0.39.23.0-6.2
vs. Phoenix Mercury · Phoenix Mercury 94–87 Los Angeles SparksForecast saved Aug 11, 3:50 PM EDT · Starter28.931.9+3.09.85.0-4.8
vs. Golden State Valkyries · Golden State Valkyries 84–78 Los Angeles SparksForecast saved Aug 9, 6:43 PM EDT · Starter29.530.1+0.610.19.0-1.1
at Minnesota Lynx · Los Angeles Sparks 89–82 Minnesota LynxForecast saved Aug 6, 8:35 PM EDT · Starter30.128.8-1.310.67.0-3.6
at Chicago Sky · Los Angeles Sparks 88–95 Chicago SkyForecast saved Aug 5, 8:35 PM EDT · Starter32.720.9-11.811.58.0-3.5
at Portland Fire · Los Angeles Sparks 106–101 Portland FireForecast saved Aug 2, 3:05 PM EDT · Starter33.530.6-2.911.712.0+0.3
vs. New York Liberty · New York Liberty 113–109 Los Angeles SparksForecast saved Jul 28, 9:35 PM EDT · Starter33.434.2+0.811.116.0+4.9
Reading this archive

Every forecast predates its game.

Each row comes from a verified final game recap and pairs a saved pre-tip Courtside forecast with the final player result. “Difference” means actual minus forecast. The averages describe only these 17 comparable games; missing forecasts and other games are excluded.

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